Surprisingly, fewer than 10 percent of lifelong smokers will get lung cancer. Fewer yet will contract the long list of other cancers, such as throat or mouth cancers. In the game of risk, you're more likely to have a condom break than to get cancer from smoking.
That the majority of smokers beat cancer doesn't make for effective anti-smoking campaigning. So the statistics are turned around: Smoking accounts for 30 percent of all cancer deaths and 87 percent of lung cancer deaths; the risk of developing lung cancer is about 23 times higher in male smokers compared to non-smokers
When you add in the fact that smokers have 75% lower incidence of Altzheimers, that means that after a half-century of a pack-a-day I will probably die a few years earlier than you non-smokers, while you spend your last 10 years drooling into a bib wondering who you are.